India’s tax revenues have steadily risen in the last few years. This has been primarily due to three reasons, high growth rate of economy, widening of tax base and use of Information and Communication Technology for better tax collection with transparency, accountability and efficiency. But the government is still looking for ways to generate more revenues.
There is one big opportunity which we are still missing. That is of scrapping the higher denomination (Rs. 500 and Rs. 1000) bills. This is not a new proposal but we need to rethink about it under changed circumstances with the presence of credit card, net banking, mobile and other ICT applications.
The government needs to announce a cut off date (say 31st March 2011) about 2-3 months in advance for scrapping Rs. 500 and 1000 bills. In this 2-3 months period, people can go to banks (authorised for this purpose) with their existing bills of Rs. 1000/500 and exchange them for the bills of Rs. 100 denomination. All they need to produce there is a valid ID proof. They will be clicked by a camera there and their fingerprints (or IRIS image) would be taken. This will ensure that one person can’t exchange at more than one place using a fake ID. However, with the same ID, one person can change as many times as he wants to during the 2-3 months period.
As a result of this, people would be forced to resort to electronic means of payment for bigger transactions. For example, to buy a jewellery item worth Rs. 2,00,000, a lady would have to carry 20 bundles of Rs. 100 bills. It means a lot of inconvenience to her. To avoid that, people would resort more to electronic transactions like credit cards, debit cards, direct debit, cheque payment etc. This will bring more money in Tax net thereby increasing Tax revenues. This only creates inconvenience for the people with unaccounted or black money. For a person with hard earned white income, there are plenty of electronic means available to make payments.
Political parties and candidates would find it highly difficult to store huge amount of cash for election expenses and to spend it during elections. This would to a limited extent, also help in cleansing electoral politics. Electoral politics is one of the main reasons for existence of corruption.
Even during initial exchange period of 2-3 months, it will be very tough for the people with black money. Once the scheme is announced, generally people would hesitate in accepting these bills. People with lots of black money would not be able to convert it. If the government wants, it can announce a voluntary disclosure scheme (with a taxation of 50-60%) along with this to unearth black money.
It doesn’t affect more than 90% of the people of the country who rarely use the bigger bills. It will only affect the corrupt ultra rich 2-3% people. It also doesn’t affect the people with white money no matter however rich they are. They can easily exchange it initially and also use electronic transaction to do business later on.
Thus, this scheme has the multiple benefits of increasing tax revenues, size of white economy and reducing black money and corruption. The size of black money economy is estimated to be three times that of white money economy.
No scheme is 100% full proof. This scheme also has its pitfalls. People would start using gold coins or other Hawala kind of tokens to make large payments. This may give rise to a parallel illegal currency. But chances of this are rare, as the acceptance of an illegal currency would always be very limited. Even if this happens, still it would not be worse than the present situation, where black money is as freely and legally used in market as white money. This would definitely create a lot of inconvenience to people with black money. Many fence sitters may decide not to become corrupt because of this inconvenience in handling black money.
People can use dummies like servants, relatives during the initial exchange period of 2-3 months to convert large amounts of black money. If the duplication check software is not strong or is not properly implemented, then a dummy person with a fake ID can exchange huge sums of money. Proper checks and balances would need to be designed in the scheme to control this. For example, we can put a limit on the maximum amount of exchange allowed per person. Above that amount, he would need to produce his Tax returns of last 3 years etc.
If one objectively examines this scheme, this is definitely in national interest, even if it may not be in the interest of highly placed corrupt politicians and bureaucrats. For whatever reasons, even if the government can’t implement it straight away, there is surely a case for further study or research or a committee’s appointment to examine this from all angles.
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